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Already, the window to
prevent catastrophic climate change appears to be closing. Some
governments are starting to redirect their attention away from climate
change mitigation and toward staking their claims in a warming world.
"Canada is spending $3 billion to build eight new patrol boats
to reinforce its claim over Arctic waterways. Denmark and Russia
are starting to vie for control over the Lomonosov Ridge, where
new sources of oil and natural gas could be accessed if the Arctic
Circle becomes ice free-fossil fuels that will further exacerbate
climate change. These actions assume that a warming world is here
www.worldwatch.org/vitalsigns)
Washington, D.C.-Consumption of energy and many
other critical resources is consistently breaking records, disrupting
the climate and undermining life on the planet, according to the
latest Worldwatch Institute report, Vital Signs 2007-2008.
The 44 trends tracked in Vital Signs illustrate
the urgent need to check consumption of energy and other resources
that are contributing to the climate crisis, starting with the largest
polluter, the United States, which accounted for over 21 percent
of global carbon emissions from fossil fuel burning in 2005. Europe,
already feeling the effects of climate change, should pressure the
United States to join international climate negotiations, according
to Erik Assadourian, Vital Signs Project Director.
"The world is running out of time to head
off catastrophic climate change, and it is essential that Europe
and the rest of the international community bring pressure to bear
on U.S. policymakers to address the climate crisis," said Assadourian,
who spoke at the launch of Vital Signs at the Catalonian Ministry
of the Environment in Barcelona, Spain, organized by the UNESCO
Centre of Catalonia. "The United States must be held accountable
for its emissions, double the per capita level in Europe, and should
follow the EU lead by committing to reducing its total greenhouse
gas emissions by 80 percent by 2050."
This summer, the European Union has become a showcase
for how the world will be transformed by climate change, including
tragic fires in Greece and the Canary Islands, dramatic floods in
England, and heat waves across the continent. Assadourian urged
European leaders to push the United States to engage more constructively
with the international community on climate change, starting at
the United Nations later this month and in the Bali climate negotiations
at the end of the year.
With a global population of 6.6 billion and growing,
the ecosystem services upon which life depends are being stretched
to the limit due to record levels of consumption:
- In 2006, the world used 3.9 billion tons of
oil. Fossil fuel usage in 2005 produced 7.6 billion tons of carbon
emissions, and atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide reached
380 parts per million.
- More wood was removed from forests in 2005
than ever before.
- Steel production grew 10 percent to a record
1.24 billion tons in 2006, while primary aluminum output increased
to a record 33 million tons. Aluminum production accounted for
roughly 3 percent of global electricity use.
- Meat production hit a record 276 million tons
(43 kilograms per person) in 2006.
- Meat consumption is one of several factors
driving rising soybean demand. Rapid expansion of soybean plantations
in South America could displace 22 million hectares of tropical
forest and savanna in the next 20 years.
- The rise in global seafood consumption comes
even as many fish species become scarcer: in 2004, 156 million
tons of seafood was eaten, an average of three times as much seafood
per person than in 1950.
The expanding global appetite for everything from
everyday items such as eggs to major consumer goods such as automobiles
is helping to drive climate change, endangering organisms both on
land and in the sea:
- The warming climate is undermining biodiversity
by accelerating habitat loss, altering the timing of animal migrations
and plant flowerings, and shifting some species toward the poles
and to higher altitudes.
- The oceans have absorbed about half of the
carbon dioxide emitted by humans in the last 200 years. Climate
change is altering fish migration routes, pushing up sea levels,
intensifying coastal erosion, raising ocean acidity, and interfering
with currents that move vital nutrients upward from the deep sea.
- Despite a relatively calm U.S. hurricane season
in 2006, the world experienced more weather-related disasters
than in any of the previous three years. Nearly 100 million people
were affected.
While U.S. carbon emissions continue to grow,
the fastest rise is occurring in Asia, particularly China and India.
But without a U.S. commitment to emissions constraints, persuading
China and India to commit to reductions is unlikely. "The only
hope for reducing the world's carbon emissions is for the U.S. to
begin reducing its emissions and cooperating with other nations
immediately. The EU may be the only entity that can make that happen,"
said Assadourian.
"With the U.S. Congress preparing to take
up far-ranging climate legislation this fall, and with President
Bush planning to hold an international climate change summit in
Washington, now is the time to act. If the U.S. and other nations
walk away without concrete plans to implement a binding agreement,
the EU should not hesitate to use its
diplomatic clout to press the issue," suggested Assadourian.
Already, the window to prevent catastrophic climate
change appears to be closing. Some governments are starting to redirect
their attention away from climate change mitigation and toward staking
their claims in a warming world. "Canada is spending $3 billion
to build eight new patrol boats to reinforce its claim over Arctic
waterways. Denmark and Russia
are starting to vie for control over the Lomonosov Ridge, where
new sources of oil and natural gas could be accessed if the Arctic
Circle becomes ice free-fossil fuels that will further exacerbate
climate change. These actions assume that a warming world is here,"
said Assadourian.
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